The attack that killed Qusay and Uday Hussein could set off an
immediate wave of retribution attacks, officials said, but the
deaths should also embolden more Iraqis to come forward with
critical information to energize the American military's
antiguerrilla operations.
Evidence of the deaths, the officials said, will allow them to
make the most convincing case that senior leaders of the Hussein
government would never return to power and that Iraqis need no
longer fear openly supporting the United States.
Before today, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld routinely
cited the climate of fear imposed by Mr. Hussein over the decades of
his rule as a significant brake on efforts to pacify and rebuild
Iraq. Mr. Hussein's sons served as his two most senior advisers and
their survival at the very least helped inspire the insurgency.
"Key regime figures had spheres of influence, and many in Uday
and Qusay's spheres of influence are without a doubt sleeping better
tonight," said James R. Wilkinson, spokesman for the United States
Central Command in Tampa, Fla.
But the top prize Saddam Hussein remained elusive, and initial
reports on the attack included no indication of whether information
might have been seized at the house to point to his location.
Even so, the raid raised hopes among military officials in Iraq
and at the Pentagon (news
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sites) that they were tightening the noose around Mr. Hussein
himself. A senior military official said the Pentagon would learn
more about the kind of hiding places Mr. Hussein and his former top
aides may be using. The second floor house in Mosul was so heavily
fortified that it took missiles fired from either Apache or Kiowa
helicopters to blast it open so troops could enter.
The attack may also validate arguments by senior American
commanders who have resisted calls from some lawmakers and other
critics to increase the number of troops on the ground in Iraq from
the current level of 148,000, saying better intelligence combined
with fast-acting troops is the answer.
In an interview on Sunday, Gen. John P. Abizaid, the commander of
American forces in the Persian Gulf, described a scenario that
foreshadowed the raid today.
"It's not a matter of boots per square meter," General Abizaid
said. "It's a matter of focused intelligence, and then troops that
are agile enough to carry out missions in a manner that can cause
surprise and take down the targets precisely."
The military has conducted hundreds of raids over the past few
weeks, not to seize hundreds of fighters but to confiscate huge
caches of weapons and hoards of cash, gold and jewels meant to
finance a long-term guerrilla resistance.
American officials were particularly hopeful that the deaths
would lead more Iraqi informants to come forward. Since President
Bush (news
- web
sites) declared an end to major combat on May 1, American forces
have relied heavily on tips from such informants and from insurgents
captured in a running series of raids, to hunt down an elusive array
of Baath Party diehards, foreign guerrilla fighters and terrorists.
"We've seen an increase in informants coming forward to our
military, to our intelligence people and to our police in the last
three weeks, and this is an obvious example of a culmination of
that," said L. Paul Bremer III, the senior American occupation
administrator, after briefing lawmakers on Capitol Hill today. "I
would hope this will encourage other Iraqis to come forward."
Lt. Gen. Ricardo S. Sanchez, the American ground commander in
Iraq, told reporters in Baghdad that the developments will enhance
the allies' credibility with Iraqis, some of whom have questioned
whether the United States was secretly holding Mr. Hussein, and
possibly his sons, to ensure Iraqis dis what they were told.
General Sanchez said, "We remain totally committed to the Hussein
regime never returning to power and tormenting the Iraqi people."
Judith Yaphe, an Iraq specialist at the National Defense
University, said that "even those who have shown the most loyalty to
the regime, and thought it could survive or come back, can't be
putting much hope on Saddam's returning if his sons are not alive."
News of the two sons' deaths, she said, "is not going to stop all
of the attacks against us." But, she added, "it could weaken, it
could lower the degree of them." She cautioned, though, that "there
are going to be some people who are going to be cranky no matter who
is alive or dead, because they have nothing to lose."
One Bush administration official said tonight that the United
States carried the burden of proving to the Iraqi people, and indeed
to the Arab world at large, that the two sons were actually dead,
and that Pentagon efforts to produce evidence of Mr. Hussein's
brutality to his own people would continue.
General Sanchez acknowledged that providing public proof was
essential, and promised to provide more details at a televised
briefing in Baghdad on Wednesday.
Deputy Defense Secretary Paul D. Wolfowitz told reporters on
Monday, after completing a five-day trip to Iraq, that the allied
public information campaign must do a better job of promoting the
occupation's accomplishments and debunking the guerrilla propaganda.
The mission today may also have a positive effect far beyond
quieting the resistance, because it could serve as a big morale
boost for the soldiers who have lived, fought and patrolled in the
desert for months.
In fact, while Pentagon officials cautioned that they had only
preliminary reports from the battle, one military officer briefed on
the mission said Apache helicopters flown by the 101st Airborne had
performed admirably, which could polish an image of the choppers
that some say was tarnished early in the war.
In late March, when army aviation mounted its first attack on
Republican Guard forces, the Apaches of the 11th Aviation Regiment
were surprised by an Iraqi tactic of throwing up a wall of
small-arms fire that downed one helicopter and damaged more than two
dozen others.
Missions like the one conducted today often call up the fearsome
AC-130 gunship, an Air Force Special Operations plane that carries
aloft heavy machine guns and cannon, but the Apache received the
assignment for close-air support today and did well, military
officials said.
That Mr. Hussein's two sons could elude 160,000 troops for so
long begs the question of whether it was the $15 million reward on
each son's head that inspired the betrayal, or something else.
American intelligence officials say Mr. Hussein's former
secretary told interrogators that the Iraqi leader split from his
two sons on April 10. Uday and an aide fled to Syria, but were
forced back into Iraq. Saddam Hussein was not believed to have been
at the site of the raid.
"It's only a matter of time before we find Saddam Hussein," Mr.
Bremer said, "and I hope that day is a day earlier now."