Producer
Prices Post a Record Drop Thu May 15, 2003 09:13 AM ET
By Tim Ahmann
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. wholesale prices posted their
biggest drop on record last month as energy prices plunged and
the costs of cars, light trucks and cigarettes fell, the
government said on Thursday in a report that showed prices
falling much more than Wall Street expected.
The producer price index,
which measures prices paid at the factory, farm and refinery
gate, plummeted 1.9 percent in April, the biggest drop on
records dating to 1947, the Labor Department said.
Much of the decline was due to an 8.6 percent fall in
energy prices. However, the so-called core PPI, which strips
out volatile food and energy costs, also tumbled sharply,
falling 0.9 percent on the back of drops in prices for cars,
SUVs and other light trucks, and cigarettes. It was the
largest decline in core PPI since August 1993.
The report was likely to fuel concerns over the possibility
of deflation, or a widespread decline in consumer prices.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected the PPI to drop just
0.6 percent with the core rate down just 0.1 percent.
But some economists cautioned against an overreaction.
"This is a very weak inflation number and will certainly
raise some concerns regarding deflation. However, most of the
decline is due to falling oil prices and that's due to the end
of the Iraq war," said Peter Cardillo, chief strategist at
Global Partners Securities Inc. in New York.
The dollar weakened slightly after the report was released.
Treasury bond prices initially moved higher but quickly fell
back as traders focused on a positive report on manufacturing.
Car prices fell 2.6 percent last month, their biggest drop
since October 2001, while prices for light trucks fell 4.6
percent, the largest drop since February 1982.
Vehicle prices have shown a great deal of volatility in
recent months, reflecting on-again, off-again sales incentives
from manufacturers. Automakers ratcheted up incentives to
record levels in April, according to many industry analysts.
At the same time, cigarette prices slid a sharp 9.6
percent, their largest fall since August 1993.
If car, light truck and cigarette prices were excluded, the
core PPI would have risen 0.2 percent, the department said.
Record drops for the cost of gasoline and home heating oil
partly accounted for the sharp drop in energy costs. Gasoline
prices fell 22.3 percent, heating oil was down 29.3 percent.
But other energy costs also fell sharply. Prices for
liquefied petroleum gas fell 25.9 percent and natural gas
prices dipped 3.1 percent.
The department said PPI would have still been down 0.5
percent if only energy prices were stripped out.
Food prices rose 0.9 percent last month.
The report also showed falling prices further back in the
production pipeline. Prices at the intermediate goods level
fell a record 2.2 percent, but were unchanged excluding food
and energy. Crude goods prices posted a record 16.3 percent
drop and were off 1.3 percent stripping out food and energy.
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